Do the EXACT triggers for the Saxon capitulation work properly (meaning as the starting screen implies)?

Code: Select all
SelectFaction = $PRU
StartEvent = evt_nam_CMN_CapitulationSaxony_Trigger|1|0|NULL|NULL|NULL|NULL
Conditions
MinDate = 1756/09/01
MaxDate = 1756/12/30
Probability = 100
EvalRgnOwned = $Dresden
SelectFaction = $PRU
SelectRegion = $Dresden
SelectRegion = $Dresden
EvalControl = >=;60
SelectRegion = $Dippoldiswalde
EvalControl = >=;60
SelectRegion = $Radeberg
EvalControl = >=;60
SelectRegion = $Pirna
EvalControl = >=;60
EvalAreaPowerRatio = LAND;$Theater_Saxony;100;>=;50;25
Actions
GenMsg
SetEvtOccurs = evt_nam_CMN_CapitulationSaxony;MaxOccurs;1
SetEvtOccurs = evt_nam_CMN_CapitulationSaxony_AI;MaxOccurs;0
SetEvtOccurs = evt_nam_CMN_CapitulationSaxony_Escape_AI_Sortie;MaxOccurs;0
EndEvent
The event has a 100% probability to trigger, meaning that it is super easy for the Prussians to get these three regions without even a fight. Shouldn't that probability be something more of 50 to 66 per cent?