Sorry, I was looking at the FIW disband rather than AWI.
Provos are subject to disband and AutoRaise in the AWI, so yes they can and will disband, but can also AutoRaise in the spring
Base disband probability for Trained Provo [actually the units are called Colonial Regiments in AWI]units is 5%,
modified in the usual ways [out of home region, unit count above base allowances, not garrisoning a VP location in home region]
...for comparison: Untrained Colonial Regiments base disband is 15%, Tory militia are 20-25%
So disbanding is WAD for AWI.
Thank you for the saved game.
